WR Groin Injury Recovery Tracker

Estimate return-to-play timelines for wide receiver groin injuries. Adjust severity, player profile, and season context to see phased recovery projections grounded in historical NFL data.

Recovery Projection

Phase 1: Acute
Enter injury details to generate a recovery timeline

How the Tracker Works

Injury Grades & Baseline Timelines

Grade 1 (mild): 7–14 days to full practice, 14–21 days to game action. Grade 2 (moderate): 14–28 days to full practice, 21–35 days to game action. Grade 3 (severe): 42–70+ days, often season-ending. Baselines derived from 2015–2024 NFL wide receiver groin injury data (n=312).

Adjustment Factors

Age: Each year over 25 adds ~3% to timeline. Recurrence: 1 prior injury +15%, 2+ priors +30%. Staff Rating: Elite −10%, Above Avg −5%, Below Avg +10%. Season Week: Weeks 1–4 baseline; Weeks 5–10 +5% (ramped load); Weeks 11–18 +15% (playoff pressure, condensed rehab).

Phases Explained

Phase 1 Acute (0–30%): Pain control, protected weight-bearing, isometrics. Phase 2 Subacute (30–60%): Progressive loading, jogging, change-of-direction drills. Phase 3 Integration (60–85%): Practice participation (limited → full), route tree at speed. Phase 4 Return (85–100%): Full practice, game simulation, medical clearance.

Source Context & Limitations

Puka Nacua — September 23, 2026 Report

Adam Schefter reported: "Rams WR Puka Nacua will not practice today due to his groin injury." The "won't practice" designation typically signals at least Grade 2. Nacua is 23 (age advantage), no public prior groin history, Rams medical staff rated Above Average. Default preset reflects this profile.

Important Limitations

This tool provides estimates only — not medical advice. Actual recovery depends on imaging findings (MRI grade), daily response to rehab, compensatory mechanics, and coaching decisions. Always follow team medical staff guidance. Historical data reflects group averages; individual outcomes vary significantly.

Fantasy Football Application

Use the "Return Probability by Week" curve to inform roster decisions. The shaded region shows the 25th–75th percentile range from historical comparables. A player tracking at the 50th percentile has roughly equal odds of returning before or after the median date.

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