23
Steelers Projected
20
Patriots Projected
58% PIT
Win Probability
In-Game Win Probability Progression (Quarter by Quarter)
PIT +3 late
Drive-by-Drive Possession Feed 22 Drives Simulated
16-18
Steelers All-Time vs NE
6 - 6
Super Bowls Each
1-4
Postseason vs NE
The Steelers and Patriots share the NFL record with six Lombardi Trophies each. This matchup captures one of the most consequential AFC playoff and regular-season rivalries of the 21st century.
| Date | Venue | Result | Score | Key Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | Acrisure Stadium (PIT) | NE Win | NE 21 - 18 PIT | Zappe 3 TD passes, Belichick final PIT meeting |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Acrisure Stadium (PIT) | NE Win | NE 17 - 14 PIT | Agholor 44-yd TD grab before half |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Gillette Stadium (NE) | NE Win | NE 33 - 3 PIT | Banner night blowout on NBC opener |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Heinz Field (PIT) | PIT Win | PIT 17 - 10 NE | Jaylen Samuels 142 rushing yds |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Heinz Field (PIT) | NE Win | NE 27 - 24 PIT | CBS Jesse James overturned catch controversy |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Gillette Stadium (NE) | NE Win | NE 36 - 17 PIT | AFC Title Hogan 180 receiving yards |
| Jan 23, 2005 | Heinz Field (PIT) | NE Win | NE 41 - 27 PIT | AFC Title Rodney Harrison 87-yd pick-six |
| Jan 27, 2002 | Heinz Field (PIT) | NE Win | NE 24 - 17 PIT | AFC Title Bledsoe relief appearance |
Matchup Archetype Comparison
Relative unit leverage index based on current personnel trends:
Steelers Front-7 Edge (Watt/Highsmith)
88 / 100
Patriots Secondary Coverage Stability
72 / 100
Steelers Red Zone Rush Finishing
65 / 100
Patriots 3rd Down Blitz Pickup
59 / 100