The Italian Sea Group S.p.A. — Restructuring Valuation Workbench

Distressed Shipyard M&A Sale Process & Capital Stack Recovery Model
Shipyard Restructuring Parameters
Order Backlog (€M) 580
Work-in-Progress (WIP) Completion 65%
Order Cancellation Risk 15%
Shipyard Property & Docks (€M) 85
Balance Sheet Cash (€M) 18
Gross Senior Debt (€M) 140
Buyer EBITDA Multiple 6.5x
Enterprise Value €225.4M
Implied Equity Value €103.4M
Working Capital Gap €24.2M
Senior Debt Recovery 100.0%
Implied Stock Jump +32.5%
Capital Recovery Stack & Valuation Waterfall (€M)
Restructuring Valuation Summary
Targeting Enterprise Value of €225.4M under going-concern sale. Backlog net of completion liabilities and cancellation penalty yields sustainable cashflow supporting full €140.0M debt recovery and €103.4M equity value.
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