NYY Yankees Multi-Hit Outburst & Lineup Depth Simulator

Grounded in @MLB Game Event
Runs Scored
13
Actual Game Total
Total Hits
14
Team Box Score
Multi-Hit Starters
5
Lineup Outburst
Trent Grisham
2 HR
Featured Performer
Historical Rarity
0.84%
Monte Carlo Baseline
1. Batting Order Box Score

Toggle starter hit counts to manipulate the lineup's observed output and recalculate multi-hit depth.

1,000 iterations ready
2. D3 Multi-Hit Rarity Engine
N=1,000 Games

Simulated frequency of starters achieving multi-hit games (2+ hits) across 1,000 game runs.

Monte Carlo Outburst Probability Proof

0.84%
Prob (≥5 Multi-Hit)
12.8
Sim Exp. Runs
High
Lineup Clustered Depth
3. Hit Clustering vs Run Expectancy

How 14 hits distributed across 5 multi-hit starters maximizes run yield compared to isolated top-heavy hits.

Clustered 5 Multi-Hit Profile (Actual Game)
Sequential multi-hit starters minimize out-wasting, producing an estimated 12.6 - 13.8 Expected Runs.
Concentrated Top-Heavy Profile (3 Starters)
14 hits concentrated in only 3 players (e.g. 4-4-4-2-0) leaves rally gaps, lowering expectancy to 8.2 Expected Runs.
4. MLB Historical Outburst Benchmarks

Recent high-water mark games featuring 5+ multi-hit starters with 13+ runs scored.

New York Yankees (Featured)
14 Hits, 13 Runs • Trent Grisham 2 HR
5 Starters
Atlanta Braves (2023)
16 Hits, 14 Runs • 4 HR Total
5 Starters
Los Angeles Dodgers (2022)
15 Hits, 13 Runs • 3 HR Total
5 Starters
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