Projected AfD Share
In targeted cohort slice
Demographic Shift
+4.2% among unionized blue-collar workers
Trend vs 2021 federal baseline
East-West Gap
+14.1%
East premium in rural brackets
Protest Volatility
High
Mobilization sensitivity
Cohort Voting Propensity by Education & Age Group
Simulated vote share distribution comparing AfD against CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens in selected demographic bracket.
Geographic Constituency Matrix (East vs West Strongholds)
Interactive state mapping highlighting electoral divergence between Eastern federal states and Western industrial belts.
| State | Cluster | Sim. Share |
|---|