This explains the saved scenario program, not measured humanitarian outcomes or a validated policy forecast. Need starts at one hundred. Each year adds minus point four five times aid fraction minus one times one hundred, plus fifteen times one minus the engagement multiplier, then clamps between zero and one hundred fifty. An illustrative eighty percent aid allocation contributes plus nine. Talk adds zero, so the first result is one hundred nine. Isolation uses multiplier point three, adding ten point five, so the result is one hundred nineteen point five. Bars at two pixels per index point span two hundred eighteen and two hundred thirty nine pixels. The next year uses the updated need, not a fresh baseline. A critical gap is marked only below ten percent aid: exactly ten percent does not trigger that branch. These thresholds are authored assumptions, not field measurements. Reform and leverage follow separate recurrences. Reform begins at zero and increases by point eight plus point two times engagement multiplier, capped at one hundred. Talk adds one per year, yielding twenty after twenty steps; isolation adds point eight six, yielding seventeen point two. At twelve pixels per point those bars span two hundred forty and two hundred six point four pixels. Aid level does not enter this reform formula. Leverage starts at one hundred and multiplies by point nine two each year, then adds eight times engagement multiplier. With talk it stays one hundred. With isolation it approaches thirty, giving thirty plus seventy times point nine two to the twentieth power. The plotted years contain post update values: the first plotted reform point is one, not zero. None of these coefficients was fitted or validated by this saved engine. Exports reveal a mismatch between numeric output and fixed narrative text. Twenty years at one hundred percent baseline aid and talk produce need one hundred, reform twenty and leverage one hundred, with twenty four thousand million dollars of cumulative assumed aid. Yet that branch of the export writes a fixed insight claiming need near sixty eight, leverage seventy eight and reform sixteen. The bars compare actual reform twenty with the text claim sixteen, at twelve pixels per point: two hundred forty and one hundred ninety two pixels. This is a source inconsistency, not evidence for either policy claim. JSON exports metadata, parameters, twenty time series rows and summary. CSV exports the time series alone. The baseline of twelve hundred million is an authored constant; the source attribution and current affairs claims have not been verified. Original controls, persistence and exported values must remain unchanged when adding this explanatory video.