Humanitarian Intelligence Diagnostic

Afghanistan 5-Year Humanitarian Aid Crisis Tracker (2021–2026)

Scrubbing humanitarian funding gaps, operational restrictions, and acute food insecurity across the five-year power milestone.

5-Year Humanitarian Chronology Milestone
Selected: 2026 (5-Year Milestone)
2026 Milestone: Aid agencies warn of catastrophic multi-sector shortfall as donor fatigue and severe operational staffing bans leave 70.9% of UN appeal targets unfunded.

Humanitarian Financing & Food Insecurity Trajectory

D3.js Real-time Synthesis
UN HRP Appeal
$3.06B
Required for year
Delivered Aid
$0.89B
29.1% coverage
Funding Gap
70.9%
$2.17B deficit
Acute Need (IPC 3+)
23.7M
People in crisis/emergency

Sectoral Vulnerability & Operational Coverage

Sector Requirement Funded % Delivered Reach In Need Status

Operational Stress Testing

Policy Modeler

Simulate adjustments in operational permissions, banking liquidity, and donor commitments on real-time delivery capacity.

Female NGO Staffing Authorization Restricted (20%)
Restricting female staff collapses field verification & healthcare access.
Banking System Liquidity & De-risking Severe Strain (35%)
Foreign reserve freezes and lack of correspondent banking raise transaction friction.
Donor Aid Commitment Scale Baseline (100%)
Simulate donor fatigue contraction or emergency donor replenishment surges.
Climate / Disaster Shock Factor Elevated (1.25x)
Compound drought & seismic events multiplier expanding base acute population.
Operational Delivery Constraint Index
74 / 100 (Severe Blockage)
Delivery pipelines choked by prohibitive operational bans and banking friction.
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