Africa Electricity Access & Investment Gap Explorer

Empirical macroeconomic modeling of sub-Saharan Africa electrification (2015–2040)
Baseline: 46% (2015) → 53% (2023) | 600M Unserved
Policy Scenarios
Capital & Modality Mix
$25.0 B
50%
30%
20%
Demographics & Sizing
2.5% / yr
5.0
Electrification Rate (2030)
68.4%
vs 53.0% in 2023
Unserved Population (2030)
468 M
600M in 2023
Universal Access Year
2037
>2040 at $25B/yr
Blended Cost / Connection
$831
Deficit: $33B/yr
Access Rate (%) & Unserved Headcount (Millions) 2015–2040
Electrification Rate (%)
Unserved Headcount (M)
Milestone Pathway Trajectory
Year Total Pop (M) Served Pop (M) Unserved Pop (M) Access Rate (%) Annual Cap ($B) Connections Added (k)
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