SYSTEM DYNAMICS SIMULATION

AI Alignment & Societal Impact Simulator

Evaluate dynamic governance trajectories balancing existential risk, labor displacement, and institutional wisdom over a 20-year horizon.

Presets:

Policy & Alignment Levers

LIVE TUNING
65%

Mandatory evaluations, compute governance, alignment research mandates, and legal producer liability.

50%

Funding for displaced workforce re-skilling, living wages, and educational access for impacted workers.

40%

Decentralized dissemination of frontier weights vs centralized licensing and strict containment.

30%

Levy on algorithmic labor profits to offset sovereign pension depletion and curb unconstrained scaling.

“Pope Leo has made AI the focus of his encyclical: any technical advancement needs to be moral, considering its effect on the poorest to prevent creating an excluded underclass.”

— Synthesized from Theological Perspective on Moral Tech & Labor

Systemic Health Dials

YEAR 20 PROJECTION
Existential Risk
14.2%

Uncontrolled runaway, catastrophic proliferation, or biospheric destabilization probability.

Economic Displacement
28.5%

Net unabsorbed workforce displacement and sovereign pension gap.

Social Stability
74.0%

Civic cohesion, institutional trust, and resistance to synthetic polarization.

Wisdom Quotient
61.5%

Humane discernment, moral alignment, and critical thinking preservation.

20-Year Equilibrium Trajectory
Risk Displacement Stability Wisdom
Governance Assessment
Stable Transition State

Reading assigned policy scores as a toy model

Read the explanation

This simulator uses four slider deviations from a baseline: guardrails sixty five, retraining fifty, openness forty, and tax thirty. The assigned baseline risk is fourteen point two percent. Ten extra guardrail points subtract three point five from risk but add one point zero to displacement. Stability gains two point two and wisdom gains three point two. Those tradeoffs come directly from chosen linear coefficients. They are not measured policy effects or calibrated probabilities. The Faro preset changes guardrails to fifteen, retraining twenty, openness ninety, and tax ten. Relative to baseline, the risk formula adds seventeen point five, fourteen, one point eight, and one point six, reaching forty nine point one percent. That passes the forty five threshold and selects Critical Risk Cascade before any other status test. Its fictional scenario name and source quote do not make the output an observed risk estimate. The same preset yields stability thirty three point five, below the forty five social warning threshold. But risk is tested first, so the displayed status remains Critical Risk Cascade. The interface emits one priority label, not every triggered condition. Metrics are clipped into fixed ranges. You can use the tool to inspect sensitivities to its assumptions, while keeping uncertainty about the actual world separate. The twenty year graph starts from fixed risk eight, displacement fifteen, stability eighty two, and wisdom fifty. It interpolates toward slider targets with year divided by twenty raised to one point two five. Risk also gets a sine wobble, so its endpoint need not equal the dashboard target. Year ten has only about forty two percent of the target change. Export saves parameters and computed metrics; it does not validate quotations, religious attribution, legal frameworks, or a forecast. Offline D three remains unavailable and is preserved as a dependency limitation.

Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super