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This page assigns an annual hazard from growth, alignment investment, and verification rigor. It then multiplies survival by one minus that hazard each year, and reports one minus accumulated survival. At the baseline two point four growth, point one five investment, and point four two rigor, its safety factor is two point eight. Following the source equation yields about twelve point seven eight percent over ten years, displayed as twelve point eight. This is a constructed hazard model, not an empirically established probability of catastrophe. The initial HTML says risk twelve point four percent, multiplier two point eight, and safety gap negative thirty eight point two percent. But executed formulas yield risk twelve point eight, multiplier one point three, and safety gap positive sixteen point seven percent. The comments describe a desired calibration rather than implementing those exact fixture labels. The multiplier is a ratio formula, not a solved minimum investment needed to reach a five percent target. Pause and Verify sets growth one point four, investment point three five, and rigor point eight five. Its assigned ten year risk is about three point three percent. Aggressive settings three point eight, point zero eight, and point two five produce about thirty two point eight. These differences follow the exponent, floor, cap, and time growth constants. They do not validate a real governance strategy, represent a current company forecast, or establish a safe deployment. The function compares its unrounded final risk to five and ten percent. The UI styles rounded output, so a value very near a boundary can expose a rounding distinction. More years multiply more survival terms; the source does not estimate uncertainty around hazards. Export saves local inputs and the resulting curve. The chart depends on an external Chart library that is blocked in offline tests. Native controls and resized dimensions can be compared, but this is not evidence of an actual public chart, real alignment measurement, or full functional certification.