AI Alignment Pacing Simulator

Stable Human Oversight

Inspired by discussions on OpenAI's support for pacing AI development so frontier capability does not outrun human verification depth and control capacity.

Pacing Controls Adjust parameters

Capability Acceleration 4.5x
Frontier algorithmic model capability growth velocity per iteration
Verification Depth 3.0x
Depth of automated interpretability, red-teaming, and human checks
Compute Scaling Cap 70%
Effective cluster training cap preventing runaway unvetted runs
Governance Strictness 50%
Institutional audit gates, stop-work thresholds, and multi-party oversight

Alignment Trajectory T=0 to T=24 Months

Frontier Capability Index 142.6 Cumulative benchmark progress
Control Margin Score 72.4 Human oversight buffer > 0
Alignment Risk Level Low-Moderate Probability of catastrophic drift
Frontier Capability
Human Control Capacity
Safety Margin Differential
Pacing conditions maintain a positive control margin (+72.4 pts). Verification depth successfully scales alongside algorithmic leaps, mitigating unmonitored model agency.
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