Analogy Fidelity Score
42.8%
Moderate Metaphor Failure
Epistemic Half-Life
8.6 mo
Thesis decay horizon
Primary Divergence Vector
Agentic Delegation & Tool-Use
Point where historical analogy breaks
Thesis Obsolescence Risk
High (2.8x lag mismatch)
Frontier outpaces 24mo book lag
Multi-Axis Metaphor Radar
Historical Baseline vs Frontier Trajectory
The canine working-partner metaphor breaks down at multi-agent recursive coordination; the economic labor substitution model breaks down under non-linear marginal cost collapse.
Publication Lag vs Capability Frontier
36-Month Horizon with Uncertainty Cone
Capability Frontier Velocity Vectors
Fine-tune empirical expansion rates