SCADA-AI Risk Matrix

AI Infrastructure Incident Impact & Regulatory Risk Modeler

Avalanche Summit Context: "There's going to be some kind of AI agent that gets into a power plant... it's not going to be existential... but it will be serious enough... serious AI-related incidents could accelerate calls for government restrictions on major companies." — Haseeb Qureshi (@hosseeb via @CoinDesk)

Incident Controls LIVE SOLVER
Simulation Presets
AI Agent Autonomy Level 82%
Agent self-prompting loop depth & autonomous tool access
Target Vulnerability (Hardening Inversion) 65%
SCADA network air-gap decay, unpatched firmware, legacy OT protocols
Incident Severity Vector 74%
Scope of actuation: turbine trips, generator desync, load shedding
Economic Downtime EST. LOSS
$142.5M
Direct grid desynchronization, spot replacement & outage mitigation
Public Safety Risk SEVERITY
High (78/100)
Evaluates municipal disruption, emergency response, and grid stability
Regulatory Friction Index POLICY
89
Likelihood and stringency of federal legislative & compliance response
Projected Emergency Policy Action Mandatory Federal Air-Gap & Liability Act
Incursion Topology & Attack Propagation Phase 3: SCADA Actuation
Federal Legislative & Executive Intervention Ladder TRIGGER MAP
National Defense Critical Grid Isolation Order (Friction ≥ 92)
Federal mandate ordering absolute disconnect of all autonomous agent execution layers from energy grids.
Mandatory Federal Air-Gap & Liability Act (Friction ≥ 85)
Statutory liability transferred directly to model developers and corporate operators; required physical isolation switches.
Mandatory Incident Reporting & Third-Party Audit Directive (Friction ≥ 70)
Mandatory 24-hour breach reporting to CISA and mandatory red-teaming for autonomous model capabilities.
National Cyber Security Advisory & Heightened Alert (Friction ≥ 55)
Joint advisory issued to critical infrastructure operators detailing prompt injection and agent tool exploitation.
Baseline NIST Voluntary AI Guidelines Alignment (Friction < 55)
Voluntary risk management framework adoption without punitive enforcement.
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