Legislative Controls Frontier AI Focus
12 Months
0 mo (No pause)
12 mo
24 mo
36 mo
10^25 FLOPs
10^24 (Broad)
10^25 (Frontier)
10^26
10^27 (Hyperscale)
Moratorium Target Scope
Legislative Levers
Open-Source Exemptions
Protects academic & weights-available models < threshold
Federal Procurement Ban
Restricts agencies from contracting non-compliant models
Chip Export & Fab Caps
Imposes hardware quotas on frontier AI accelerator chips
Federal Alignment Score
79.0
Congressional consensus probability (0-100)
R&D Velocity Index
68.4
Compared to baseline 100 without pause
Safety Risk Reduction
34.2%
Catastrophic & systemic risk mitigation
Startup Compliance Cost
$45.0M
Average ecosystem licensing & audit impact
Open-Source Model Share
Community availability of frontier research
5-Year Trajectory: Innovation Velocity vs. Safety Compliance Index
R&D Velocity
Safety Index
Legislative Impact Summary: The proposed 12-month pause targeting frontier training above 10^25 FLOPs, paired with open-source exemptions and federal procurement conditions, delivers a 34.2% safety risk mitigation while preserving an R&D velocity index of 68.4. Estimated venture and startup compliance overhead totals $45.0M, avoiding destructive lab displacement.