AI Policy & Industry Slowdown Simulator

Policy Levers

Dynamic Equilibrium: Simulates friction between federal deregulation stance and voluntary moratorium pacts across frontier AI labs.

Policy Presets

Federal Regulatory Friction 15

Federal enforcement intensity, antitrust oversight, and export limits.

Industry Voluntary Slowdown 80

Frontier lab commitment to compute throttles and red-teaming pauses.

Venture Capital Velocity 90

Pace of private model scaling rounds and datacenter buildout funding.

Derived Telemetry (Year 5)

Deployment Speed 62.1

Safety Risk Index 34.5

          Policy Tension
          78.4
        

Market Concentration 84.2%

5-Year Forecast Trajectory

Projection of deployment pace, emergent systemic risks, and regulatory-industry friction

Speed Index

Risk Index

Tension Index

Export Model Telemetry Download complete multi-variable projection series for research & reporting

AI Policy & Industry Slowdown Dynamics

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Read the explanation

The simulator balances three primary forces: federal regulatory friction, voluntary industry slowdown, and venture capital velocity over a five-year projection. Deployment speed scales with capital, while policy tension spikes whenever federal deregulation diverges sharply from voluntary industry moratoriums. Selecting presets like Deregulation Era instantly lowers friction to five, shifting the multi-year curves and accelerating safety risks across subsequent years.