AI Wild Ride Trajectory Simulator

2026–2035 Horizon
Insp. by @kimmonismus: "We are in for a wild ride I guess."
Scenario Archetypes
Dynamic Control Levers
Recursive Feedback Rate (λ) 0.78
Compute Scaling Exponent 3.4x/yr
Energy Grid Capacity 45 GW
Inference Efficiency Mult. 5.2x
Institutional & Safety Drag 0.35
Non-Linear Phase Portrait (Runge-Kutta 4th Order) SOLVING ODE
Effective Capability (Index)
Grid Power Demand (GW)
Recursive Agent Density
Physical Grid Ceiling
Timeline Scrubber Inspection Year 2030.0 (Q1)
Calculating systemic dynamics across the decade...
Inspection Telemetry (@ 2030)
Frontier ELO Equivalency
4,120
Power Draw
38.4GW
Synthetic Data Share
84.2%
Agent Autonomy Ratio
68.5%
Bottleneck Cascade Status
⚡ Power Generation Wall CLEAR (38.4/45 GW)
🔬 High-NA Litho & CoWoS NOMINAL (+140% Cap)
🛡️ Verification Horizon STABLE (Margin +1.2)
🏛️ Economic Absorption FRICTION MODERATE
System dynamics differential model resolves non-linear state vector: dC/dt = α·C·(1 + λ·A)·(1 - P/P_max) - δ·D with Runge-Kutta integration.

How the simulator models its grid constraint

Read the explanation

This simulator explores a hypothetical feedback loop. Capability increases power demand, while autonomy strengthens the capability growth term. These equations are scenario assumptions, not a validated prediction of future artificial intelligence. The grid multiplier is one minus the power ratio raised to three point five, capped at zero. At half of the energy ceiling, the multiplier is about zero point nine one. At eighty percent it falls to about zero point five four. At the ceiling it is zero, removing the positive compute growth term. Compare scenarios by changing the energy ceiling and efficiency controls. The capability plot uses a logarithmic vertical scale, while power uses a linear scale. Export the trajectories to inspect the numbers rather than comparing line heights across different scales.

Super generates helpful tools and automates fact-checking across the internet proactively. If you enjoyed this tool, build your own with Super and share it with a friend.