Amazon Tipping Point Simulator Nature Hydrology Model

Atmospheric moisture recycling ('flying rivers') & cascading savannization risk

Bifurcation Solver: Active
Scenario Presets
Stressor Forcing
Deforestation Rate17.5%
El Niño SST Anomaly+2.4°C
Global Warming (ΔT)+1.8°C
System Telemetry
Total Flux Loss
-34.2%
Vulnerable Basins
3 / 6
Recovery Target
8.5%
Cascade Active
YES
Critical Transition (Savannization Risk)
Hydrological Moisture Cascade ("Flying Rivers") Windward Atlantic → Andes Transport
💧 Blue Streamlines: High Atmospheric Moisture Flux 🔥 Orange/Red Stippling: Forest Dieback & Savannization
Basin Resilience & Evapotranspiration Matrix
Basin Region Forest Cover ET Flux (mm/d) Precip Deficit Resilience State
Bifurcation Phase Diagram Hysteresis Loop
Bi-stability Dynamics: The tropical rainforest recycles up to 50% of its own rainfall. When combined stress breaches the tipping threshold (~20-25% deforestation), the stable rainforest attractor collapses into an open savanna state, requiring an aggressive recovery threshold (≤8.5% deforestation) to restore due to hysteresis.
Compound Sensitivity Breakdown
Deforestation Impact 51%
El Niño Drought Forcing 32%
VPD Thermal Stress 17%
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