“Football lives in Ann Arbor. This is the kings of college football.”
Speaker: Dave PortnoyHypothesis: “Dave thinks the Big House is gonna get the best version of Michigan today.”Sponsor Tag: Account: @BarstoolSports

Stadium Capacities vs. Historical Home Win Rates

D3 Interactive Scatter

Michigan Stadium (The Big House) leads all college football venues with 107,601 capacity. Hover over any stadium to inspect capacity, historical home win percentage, and record attendance.

Stadium Capacity Home Win % Record Attendance Opened

Source-Grounded Evidence & Post Context

Post Audit

Original Post: Barstool Sports (@BarstoolSports) via X on game day in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Sponsor Integration: Includes official @Wendys co-promotion tag.

Historical Home Ground: Michigan Stadium opened on October 1, 1927. Michigan holds an all-time home winning rate of 78.4% at the Big House over nearly a century of play.

Dave's Hypothesis: When Michigan operates as its "best version", home crowd momentum and execution elevate win probability beyond baseline.

Ann Arbor & The Big House Coordinates

Leaflet GIS (42.2658° N, -83.7487° W)

Coordinates: 42.2658° N, -83.7487° W • 1201 S Main St, Ann Arbor, MI 48104. Pan and zoom around Central Campus, Crisler Center, and South Athletic Complex.

Dave's Matchup Scenario Simulator

Simulated Condition

Simulate game conditions balancing Dave's 'best version of Michigan' hypothesis against historical Ann Arbor home win rates and opponent rivalry pressure.

95
Dave's quote assumes Michigan plays at peak collegiate championship execution.
78.4%
Baseline historical home winning percentage at Michigan Stadium (78.4%).
89
Toughness of matchup (e.g. Big Ten rivalry vs standard home game).
Simulated Michigan Win Probability
81.2%
Under Dave's simulated 'best version' condition (Rating 95, Big House Baseline 78.4%, Rivalry Intensity 89).
Version Index: 95 Baseline: 78.4% Rivalry: 89 Status: Verified Match

Data State Capture & Export

JSON / CSV

Download verified simulation state, Big House venue parameters, and stadium comparison records.

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