Antitrust Clearance & HHI Remedy Modeler
Simulate corporate mega-mergers, calculate market concentration (pre/post HHI & ΔHHI), stress-test regulatory scrutiny under FTC/DOJ Guidelines, and design state AG remedy concessions to clear deal thresholds.
Market Share Structure: Pre-Merger vs. Post-Remedy
Dynamic Vector CanvasFTC / DOJ 2023 Merger Guidelines Test
Under Guideline 1, a post-merger HHI above 1,800 points with an increase (ΔHHI) over 100 points produces a legal presumption of substantially lessened competition.
State AG Settlement Adequacy
2 of 4 key state commitments pledged. Multi-state antitrust litigation risk significantly reduced via structural divestiture and pricing moratoria.
Antitrust Law & HHI Economics Primer
How federal agencies (FTC/DOJ) and State Attorneys General assess anti-competitive harm, market power, and remedy settlements.
What is the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)?
HHI is calculated by summing the squares of individual market shares for all firms in the relevant antitrust market (e.g., 30² + 20² + ...). Markets with HHI below 1,000 are unconcentrated; 1,000 to 1,800 are moderately concentrated; and above 1,800 are highly concentrated.
What triggers an FTC/DOJ Challenge?
Mergers in highly concentrated markets producing a ΔHHI greater than 100 points, or combinations creating an entity with >30% market share, trigger a rebuttable presumption that the merger may substantially lessen competition under Section 7 of the Clayton Act.
Why do State Attorneys General Settle Separately?
Even if federal regulators approve or negotiate a consent decree, state AGs possess independent parens patriae standing to block transactions that harm local consumers, workers, or regional production. Merging parties frequently settle state lawsuits through specific localized conduct remedies.
Structural Divestitures vs. Conduct Remedies
Antitrust enforcers strongly favor clean structural divestitures (selling business units to viable independent competitors) over conduct promises (such as behavioral pricing caps), because structural fixes immediately restore competitive tension without requiring perpetual judicial oversight.