Statistical Profile Radar
Normalized Head-to-Head
FanDuel No-Vig & Game Simulator
Interactive Model
Raw Implied Probabilities:
52.8% / 51.0% (Total: 103.8%)
Bookmaker Vig / Juice:
3.83%
No-Vig Fair Win Odds:
50.9% HOU / 49.1% SD
Custom Matchup Adjustments
Astros Pitcher ERA (HOU)
3.82 ERA
Padres Pitcher ERA (SD)
3.76 ERA
Last 10 Games Momentum
Neutral (HOU 6-4 / SD 6-4)
Simulated Game Win Probability
HOU 50.9%
SD 49.1%
Standings & Tie-Breaker Context (81-65 Records)
| Metric / Dimension | Houston Astros (AL) | San Diego Padres (NL) | Tie-Breaker Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 81 - 65 (.555) | 81 - 65 (.555) | Identical Record |
| Run Differential | +82 (683 RS / 601 RA) | +88 (689 RS / 601 RA) | SD +6 Runs |
| Home / Away Split | 42-31 Home / 39-34 Away | 41-33 Home / 40-32 Away | HOU Home Edge |
| Division / Playoff Context | 1st AL West (+4.5 GB) | 2nd NL West (Wildcard #1) | Both in Postseason Position |
Simulated Operational Result: Astros 50.9% vs Padres 49.1% Fair Win Probability