Second-Half Win Probability Timeline
CALIBRATED LOGIT ENGINE
Texas Win Probability
99.1%
Ohio State Win Probability
0.9%
ATHLETIC GAME ANALYSIS • HISTORIC COMEBACK
Trailing 23-3 deep into the second half with a microscopic 1.4% win probability, No. 4 Texas launched three consecutive 4th-quarter touchdown drives. Hollywood Smothers punched in the decisive go-ahead touchdown with 25 seconds remaining, capping a 20-point deficit erasure to defeat top-ranked Ohio State 24-23.
Interactive Drive & Momentum Simulator
Halftime (30:00 left)
End of Q3 (15:00)
Final (0:00)
| Quarter | Score | Play & Outcome | TX Win% |
|---|