🤘 Texas Longhorns
No. 4
0
Staring down 21-0 hole in Q1
🌰 Ohio State Buckeyes
No. 1
21
Surrendered historic 21 unanswered pts
Analytics telemetry
Q1 Scrubber
Win Prob (TX)
4%
Deficit Shift
-21 pts
Extreme low probability state (4% baseline)
Quarter Win Probability Trajectory
4% → 98% Reversal
Quarter 1: Ohio State Jumps Out to 21-0 Lead
Buckeyes exploit early Longhorn miscues. Texas's win probability plummets to 4% as the 21-point deficit matches their largest historical challenge.
Historic Texas Comebacks Since 2007
Record Book
| Opponent / Year | Deficit Overcome | Final | AP Rank Beaten |
|---|---|---|---|
| No. 1 Ohio State (2026) | 21 Points | 31-27 (W) | No. 1 |
| Oklahoma State (2007) | 21 Points | 38-35 (W) | Unranked |
| Oklahoma (2008) | 11 Points | 45-35 (W) | No. 1 |
| Kansas State (2021) | 14 Points | 22-17 (W) | Unranked |
| Notre Dame (2016) | 10 Points | 50-47 (2OT) | No. 10 |
Drive & Leverage Telemetry
Real-Time Model
4th Quarter Unanswered Points
21 Pts
Pre-2026 AP No. 1 Teams with 20+ pt leads in Q4
197 Wins - 0 Losses
Implied Probability Swing
+94% (4% to 98%)
Benchmark Comparison
Ties largest since 2007