Australia Housing Supply & Builder Capacity Bottleneck Simulator

Evaluating Australia's 1.2M 5-year housing promise against trade labor limits and regulatory constraints

Scenario Presets:
5-Year Housing Target
1,200,000
National Target (240k/yr)
Projected 5-Yr Completions
845,000
70.4% Target Realized
National Shortfall
355,000
Deficit over 5 years
Primary Trade Bottleneck
Carpenters & Joiners
-28,500 qualified workers needed
Capacity Limit Warning
Trade workforce limitations (framing & joinery) and long permit lead-times (7.5 months) currently constrain maximum annual completions to ~169,000 homes.
Policy & Capacity Levers
240,000
55%
12,000
7.5 mos
8%
115
5-Year Cumulative Completion Trajectory
1.2M Target Curve
Projected Completions
Trade Labor Requirement vs Availability
Trade Discipline Required Available Deficit / Surplus Status
State-by-State Allocation vs Capacity
Export Scenario Data
Download dynamic modeling outputs including trade requirements and annual trajectory.
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