John Rave Bases-Clearing Double Clutch & WPA Visualizer

Field Tracking & Ball Trajectory Top 8th • 1 Out • Bases Loaded

John Rave (Batter → 2B)

R3 (Scores)

R2 (Scores)

R1 (Scores from 1st)

Batted Ball

0.0s

Setup: 8th Inning, Bases Loaded, 1 Out. John Rave steps into the box with Royals trailing by 2.

Win Expectancy & Leverage (WPA) MLB RE24 MODEL

Win Probability Added (WPA)
+42.8%
Pre: 18.4% → Post: 61.2%

Run Expectancy Swing (ΔRE)

+2.32 Runs

From 1.54 RE to 3.86 (3 R + 0.86)

Score Shift

4 - 6 → 7 - 6

Royals take 1-Run Lead

R1 Home Plate Margin

+0.68s Safe

Sprint 9.1s vs Relay 9.78s

Game Leverage Scenarios:

Pre-Hit Deficit (Royals)

Outs Count

Runner 1 Sprint Speed: 28.4 ft/s

Exit Velocity: 98.5 mph

Why This Play Was Decisive: With bases loaded and 1 out in the 8th, historical win probability for a road/home trailing club sits under 20%. Rave's 98.5 mph drive into the right-center gap allowed all 3 runners to score. Scoring R1 from 1st on a double yields maximum clutch swing (>40% WPA).