Democratic Electoral Votes: 212
270 to Win Tipping Threshold
GOP Baseline: 251 (+75 Swing EV)
6 Battleground Swing Map
PA, MI, WI, AZ, GA, NV elasticity shift
Coalition Rift & Elasticity Graph
Interactive node weights between Progressive Wing, Moderate Centrist & States
Battleground State Margins Breakdown
Click row to inspect individual state parameters| State | EV | Baseline Margin | Elasticity | Simulated Margin | Outcome |
|---|
Electoral Tipping Point Analysis
Tipping Point Battleground:
Pennsylvania
Tipping Point Margin:
+1.20%
Dem Victory Path Status:
ELECTORAL MAJORITY REACHED
Coalition Insight: Under baseline parameters, high progressive elasticity in Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI) balances suburban moderate trade-offs, holding a narrow electoral vote margin.
Electoral Simulation State:
PA Tipping Point (+1.20%) - Dem 273 EV