Game State & Leverage Simulator
Active Scenario: Live Model
Runners on 1st & 2nd
1B
2B
3B
HP
Batter:
Ben Rice (#22 1B/C)
Pre-Pitch: 40.0%
Post Go-Ahead Knock: 68.4%
Leverage Context: In the bottom of the 8th with runners on 1st & 2nd in a tie game with 1 out, Ben Rice faces an exceptional 3.45 Leverage Index. Delivering the go-ahead knock swung the Yankees win probability from 40.0% to 68.4% (+28.4% WPA).
Batter Profile · Clutch Splits
NYY #22
BR
Ben Rice
New York Yankees • 1B / DH • Bats: L / Throws: R
Late-Inning WPA: +1.42
High-LI OPS: .874
| Situation | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Leverage (LI > 2.0) | 38 | .281 | .368 | .531 | 146 |
| Innings 7-9 (Tie Game) | 24 | .318 | .391 | .591 | 168 |
| Runners in Scoring Position | 52 | .267 | .346 | .489 | 129 |
| Overall Season Splits | 184 | .238 | .315 | .446 | 111 |
Yankees 8th/9th Inning Leverage Index
MLB Comparison
| Team Context | 8th Inning OPS | Clutch Runs | Win Prob Added |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | .768 (3rd AL) | 74 | +4.82 WPA |
| AL Average | .712 | 61 | -0.12 WPA |
| League Leader | .794 | 82 | +6.10 WPA |
* Statistical leverage index calculations computed based on standard win-expectancy matrix formulas derived from empirical MLB run expectancy distributions.