Median Lifespan
81.4 yrs
Longevity Ceiling
118.0 yrs
Immortality Achieved
No
Primary Failure Mode
Telomere Exhaustion & Somatic Wear
Cohort Survival Probability & Cumulative Somatic Wear (Age 0 - 150)
Gompertz-Makeham + Cellular Senescence
Simulation Insight: Under standard treatment, cellular wear accelerates rapidly past age 75.
Even if infectious and oncological diseases were eradicated, somatic DNA transcription errors and
Hayflick replicative exhaustion create an insurmountable barrier between 115 and 125 years.
Etiology of Biological Mortality
Relative contribution to mortality across cohort lifecycle
| Biological Vector | Mechanism | Share of Failure | Ceiling Impact |
|---|
Scientific framework derived from Hayflick limit cellular replicative dynamics, Kirkwood’s Disposable Soma theory, and Gompertz mortality kinetics.
Parameters reflect clinical biogerontology consensus on why curing pathology leaves somatic mechanical degradation intact.