Inspected Date Q3 2026 Halving Expansion
Trajectory Price $124,500 +54% Ann.
2029 Projected Market Cap $12.1T 68% of Gold Equiv.
Interactive Log10 Scale
Date: Nov 2026
Model Price: $132,000
Corridor Range: $98k - $175k
Scrub Timeline: Sep 2026
Scrub the timeline or drag curve velocity to explore 2029 valuation models. Historical R²: 0.941
2024 Halving Base Apr 2024
$64,000
Block 840,000 / $1.26T Cap
Post-Halving Test Q4 2026
$128,400
ATH Breakout Zone
2028 Halving Pivot Apr 2028
$345,000
Block 1,050,000 / Supply Squeeze
Peter Brandt 2029 Target Late 2029
$600,000
Market Cap: ~$12.3 Trillion
Methodology, Peter Brandt Thesis & Model Assumptions

The Peter Brandt Thesis & Macro Invariance

Veteran commodity and forex trader Peter Brandt posited that Bitcoin's secular multi-year cycles are driven by structural adoption and programmatic supply halvings rather than short-term central bank interest rate fluctuations. Brandt projected that an extension of parabolic trendlines could steer Bitcoin toward $600,000 by 2029.

This simulator synthesizes three classical quantitative models: the non-linear Power-Law Channel, the Brandt Parabolic Arc with diminishing terminal returns, and a Macro Liquidity Drag curve that stress-tests rate hike persistence.

Transactional Utility vs. Monetary Anchor

Brandt contrasted Bitcoin's store-of-value thesis with transactional settlement tokens (such as XRP), observing that cheap transactional utility alone does not create an uncapped monetary premium. By decoupling transaction fee velocity from balance-sheet reserve holding, Bitcoin's trajectory can be modeled as a sovereign collateral asset scaling toward physical gold parity ($16T-$18T market capitalization).

Exported reports contain full mathematical point series (annualized CAGR, drawdowns, and upper/lower standard error envelopes) for quantitative review.

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