CNBC Macro Alert / Treasury Lab

Bond Market Inflation Alarm: Breakeven & Yield Curve Stress Lab

Simulate inflation genie breakouts across US Treasury yield curves, TIPS real returns, Fisher decomposition, and bond portfolio duration losses.

Treasury Yield Curve & Breakeven Spreads ● Click or drag curve nodes to adjust tenors

Nominal Yield (Shocked)
Nominal (Base)
TIPS Real Yield
Market Breakeven Inflation (Nominal − TIPS)

Tenor Breakdown & Portfolio Shock Analysis

Tenor Base Nom Shocked Nom Base TIPS Shocked TIPS Breakeven (Expected Inf) Eff. Duration Treasury Return TIPS Divergence

Fisher Equation Decomposition (Nominal = Real + Breakeven + Term Premium)

Super generates helpful tools and automates fact-checking across the internet proactively. If you enjoyed this tool, build your own with Super and share it with a friend.