Projected Distance
385 ft
Win Prob Added (WPA)
+24.5%
Landing Sector
Left-Center Field
Play Result
HOME RUN
Win Probability Added (WPA) Leverage Index: Late-inning tied game context elevates hit value exponentially. Bregman's swing transforms a 50.0% baseline tie into a major win expectancy boost.
Wrigley Field Outfield Geometry: Authentic wall markers (355ft Left, 400ft Center, 353ft Right) with 11.5ft brick & ivy wall height in left/right field power collision calculations.
- Left Field Line: 355 ft
- Left-Center Basket: 388 ft
- Dead Center: 400 ft
- Right Field Line: 353 ft
Alex Bregman Clutch Profile: Known for high-contact, high-leverage plate appearances. 8th/9th inning go-ahead contact profile favors pull-side line drives with optimal launch angle (22°-28°).
Swing Parameters & Context
Exit Velocity
104.2 mph
Launch Angle
26.5°
Spray Angle
-22.0° (Pull)
Inning & Game Situation
Bregman Baseline: EV 104.2mph | LA 26.5° | Spray -22° | Dist 385ft | WPA +24.5%