Cubs Crosstown Walk-Off Win Probability & Leverage Matrix

Back-to-Back Sweep
Win Prob (Cubs)
99.9%
Leverage Index (LI)
4.82
Exit Velocity
103.2 mph
WPA Swing
+68.4%
9th Inning Pitch Sequence (Pitch 5/5) Bot 9th, 1 Out, Bases Loaded
Bases-loaded line drive single into right-center gap scoring winning run.

Counterfactual Scenario Simulator

Model Catch Prob: 4.2% Adjusted Win Prob: 98.9%
Wrigley Field Coordinates calibrated to 353' LF, 400' CF, 353' RF
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