Cubs Crosstown Walk-Off Win Probability & Leverage Matrix

Game Select:

Win Prob (Cubs)

99.9%

Leverage Index (LI)

4.82

Exit Velocity

103.2 mph

WPA Swing

+68.4%

9th Inning Pitch Sequence (Pitch 5/5) Bot 9th, 1 Out, Bases Loaded

Bases-loaded line drive single into right-center gap scoring winning run.

OF Alignment:

Lead Runner Sprint Speed:

Model Catch Prob: 4.2% Adjusted Win Prob: 98.9%

Wrigley Field Coordinates calibrated to 353' LF, 400' CF, 353' RF