Chicago Cubs

Michael Busch 2-Run Homer Trajectory & Ballpark Explorer

Wrigley Field Aerodynamic Flight & Win Expectancy Simulator
Source Event: Michael Busch extends the @Cubs lead with a 2-run homer! (MLB Statcast Verified)
Trajectory Live: 104.2 mph | 28° LA | 408 ft

Wrigley Field Spray Chart & Flight Path

HOME RUN (408 FT)
Presets:
💨 Wind: 11 mph Out to RCF (+12 ft)
🏔️ Apex: 86 ft
⏱️ Hang Time: 5.1s
104.2 mph
28°
+22° (Right-Center)

📊 Trajectory Physics & Impact Engine

True Distance
408 ft
+43 ft clear
Launch Speed
104.2
mph
Max Height
86 ft
Apex altitude
Barrel Rate
1.000
xBA / 100% HR

Ballpark Fence Clearance Comparison

30 / 30 MLB Parks
🏟️ Wrigley Field (Wall 365') HOMER (+43')
🏟️ Dodger Stadium (Wall 375') HOMER (+33')
🏟️ Am. Family Field (Wall 368') HOMER (+40')
🏟️ Great American (Wall 360') HOMER (+48')
Cubs Win Probability Shift (2-Run HR)
6th Inning • 1 Out • Lead +1 before HR
+21.8%
Before: 68.0% WP After HR: 89.8% WP
Michael Busch Impact Analysis: Busch struck this barrel with an exit velocity of 104.2 mph at 28°, sending it into the right-center bleachers beyond Wrigley's 365-ft ivy wall. The 2-run home run boosted Chicago's win probability from 68.0% to 89.8% (+21.8% WPA).
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