Canada-EU Visa-Free Travel Mobility & Economic Simulator

Bilateral Policy Parameters Live Model

Scenario Presets

Tourism Surge Rate +28%

Estimated reciprocal leisure influx across transatlantic leisure corridors.

Business Friction Reduction 65%

Administrative clearance drop for tech delegations, consultants & short-term corporate mobility.

Aviation Capacity Expansion +15%

Weekly transatlantic seat pair expansion between Canadian & Schengen gateway airports.

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PROJECTED ANNUAL VISITORS
3,072,000

            Baseline: 2,400,000
            +672,000 net
          

BILATERAL ECONOMIC IMPACT

$2.45B

Direct & Spillover Gain +$0.65B surge

ADMINISTRATIVE SAVINGS

$145M

Consular & Border Ops Annual Reciprocal

CORRIDOR MOBILITY INDEX

84.5

Frictionless Score (0-100) High Integration

Transatlantic Mobility Flow & Gateway Hub Network

Canada Gateways EU Gateways Active Corridors

Macroeconomic Allocation Model

Direct Transatlantic Tourism Receipts	$1.44B
Business Travel & CETA Service Exports	$0.58B
Aviation Hub & Freight Multiplier	$0.28B
Visa Processing & Border Efficiency	$0.15B
Total Bilateral Economic Dividend	$2.45B

Policy Briefing Summary

The proposed Canada-EU visa-free pact achieves a 3,072,000 annual visitor corridor, adding $2.45B in combined output while eliminating $145M in consular processing friction.

Grounding: Prompted by Globe and Mail talks reporting via Unusual Whales. Assumes CETA baseline with reciprocal electronic travel authorization harmony.