Bilateral Trade Intelligence

Canada-US Seafood Tariff Exclusion Navigator

Evaluating Canada's 0% Retaliatory Exclusion vs Counterfactual Tariff Shocks across Integrated Seafood Supply Chains

Bilateral Seafood Trade
$2,500M
100% Volume Covered (5 Sectors)
Enacted Tariff Policy
0.0% (Exempt)
Retaliatory carve-out active
Canadian Cost Avoidance
$356.5M
Annual tariff burden prevented
Processing Loop Protection
$821.4M
Cross-border raw input volume
Cross-Border Processing & Tariff Flow Dynamics
Strategic Trade Rationale: Canada exempts US seafood because Canadian processors in Atlantic Canada & BC depend on $821.4M in raw US catch (Maine lobster, Alaska salmon/crab). A 25% tariff would crush Canadian processing margins by $132M and elevate retail prices by 18.2%.
Sector Exposure & Margin Stress Ledger
Seafood Category Bilateral ($M) US Origin Loop Share Landed Δ Processor Exposure
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