The Economist Intelligence Model • Strategic Assessment

Canada-US Trade Shock & Strategy Matrix

Carney Endurance Doctrine
Rapid Concession Accord
Full Escalation Retaliation
Balanced Defense
5-Year GDP Trajectory -1.85% vs. pre-shock trend
Bilateral Export Volume -14.2% Bilateral contraction
CPI Inflation Delta +0.62% Consumer price pressure
Escalation Spiral Risk 12% Retaliatory cycle threat
Primary Vulnerable Sector Automotive & Parts Highest supply-chain friction
5-Year Real GDP Drift Index (Baseline = 100) Dynamic D3 Projection
Sector Vulnerability & Shock Heatmap Localized Output Shock
Sector Export Share Output Drop Risk Exposure
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