US-Canada Trade War Escalation & Policy Workbench

Policy Levers Ottawa vs. Washington

US Blanket Tariff Demand 0%

Canada Counter-Tariff Rate 0%

Trade Diversion (CPTPP/CETA Pivot) 0%

CAD Currency Adjustment 0%

Targeted Canadian Sectors:

Crude Petroleum & NatGas ($130B) Automotive & Parts Supply ($65B) Steel & Primary Aluminum ($22B) Softwood Lumber & Forestry ($16B) Agri-Food & Fertilizer ($40B)

Canada GDP Drag

-0.0%

US Inflation Spillover

+0.0%

Net Bilateral Volume

$780B

Diversified Realized

$0B

Bilateral Trade Flow & Retaliation Dynamics

Sector Vulnerability & Absorption Index

Sector	US Export Base	Effective Tariff	Shock Drag ($B)	Diversion Relief	Vulnerability

Policy Levers Ottawa vs. Washington

Bilateral Trade Flow & Retaliation Dynamics

Sector Vulnerability & Absorption Index

Executive Policy Assessment (Live Synthesis)