Canada-US Bilateral Trade & Strategic Leverage Simulator

Strategic Posture Controls

Diplomatic Strategy Preset

Baseline US Unilateral Tariff Threat

25%

Canadian Retaliation Intensity

Critical Minerals Export Leverage Control

80%

Controls export quotas on Nickel, Lithium, Cobalt, and Uranium to US manufacturing centers.

Exempt Crude & Hydrocarbons from Baseline Shock (Carney Oil Carveout)

Selected Target Retaliation Sectors US Midwestern Agriculture ($34B) Michigan/Ohio Auto Parts & Assembly ($62B) Gulf Coast Refined Petroleum ($28B) US Consumer Packaged Goods ($19B)

Simulated Scenario Digest (Real-time)

Canada GDP Growth Delta

-1.42%

Annualized shock: -$29.8B CAD

US Consumer CPI Impact

+0.84%

Passthrough on energy/autos

Bilateral Leverage Balance

58 : 42

Strategic Canadian parity index

Disrupted Corridor Volume

$164.2B

Out of $940B annual bilateral flow

Bilateral Sector Flow & Retaliation Vulnerability Matrix Interactive Corridor Simulation

Detailed Sector Risk & Substitution Profile 5 Key Industrial Sectors

Sector	Annual Bilateral Value	US Effective Tariff	CA Counter-Tariff	Supply Substitution Friction	Strategic Vulnerability