Offensively Cheap Solar & Storage LCOE Sandbox

Ars Technica-inspired techno-economic levelized cost model

System & Financial Inputs

Standard LCOE (NREL/EIA)
$650

Includes modules, inverters, racking, labor, and interconnection.

$180

Installed utility-scale BESS cost (pack, inverter, BOS).

4 h

Duration at 50% solar power capacity rating.

5.5 hrs (22.9%)
6.5%
1.5%
30 yrs
0.4%/yr
$80.00
Combined LCOE
$49.92 per MWh ($0.0499/kWh)
Solar + 4h Storage
Standalone Solar
$31.42 per MWh
Unsubsidized generation
Storage Adder
$18.50 per MWh
BESS firming allocation
Simple Payback 6.2 yrs
Land Footprint 5.2 acres/MW
Discount Margin 37.6%
Net Lifetime Clean 56.8 GWh

LCOE Component Breakdown vs. Grid Benchmark ($/MWh)

Interactive Breakdown
Export full techno-economic simulation model including cash flows and degradation schedules.

Why Ars Technica called modern solar "Offensively Cheap":

Between 2010 and 2024, utility PV module prices plummeted over 90%. Even when pairing 4-hour battery energy storage systems (BESS) to turn intermittent daytime solar into dispatchable peaker replacement power, the combined levelized cost of energy ($49.92/MWh in benchmark conditions) undercuts new combined-cycle gas turbine and coal generation across the majority of global grids.

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