WNBA Clutch Lab

Chelsea Gray Clutch Shot & Momentum Simulator

Aces vs Fever Overtime Climax • 2.4s Remaining Trajectory Physics
2D Shot Trajectory & Defender Clearance Simulator
Swish (Game Tied)
Apex Height:14.2 ft
Defender Clearance:+1.1 ft
Entry Angle:46.8°
Make Probability:88.4%
Launch Angle: 48.0°
Launch Velocity: 24.5 ft/s
Release Height: 7.2 ft
Defender Contest: 2.8 ft
Aces vs Fever 4th Quarter Climax: Win Probability Shift
Leverage Index Peak: 8.42

Clutch Consequence: Chelsea Gray's jumper shifted Las Vegas Aces Win Probability by +38.4%, taking the game into Overtime with 2.4s left on the clock.

Chelsea Gray Clutch Breakdown

Performance metrics in 4th Quarter / OT with under 2 minutes remaining (Scores within 5 pts).

Metric Chelsea Gray League Avg
Clutch FG% 52.4% 38.1%
Contested Pull-ups 48.6% 31.2%
True Shooting % 64.2% 49.8%
Assist-to-TO Ratio 3.80 1.65
Avg Release Arc 47.5° 43.2°
Play Context Log
4Q 0:02.4 remaining
Score: Aces 82 - 84 Fever
Chelsea Gray operates off high pick-and-roll, steps back right at the elbow, elevates over contesting arm, and hits the game-tying jumper.
Leverage Magnitude
Win probability before shot: 21.2%
Win probability after shot: 59.6%
Shift: +38.4% Aces WP
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