Actual Arc
Counterfactual
Possession Timeline Scrub
4Q 0:02.0
Win Probability Impact
Late 4Q Deficit
Aces Win Prob
8.0%
Fever Win Prob
92.0%
Down 3 with under 5 seconds remaining, Gray sets up at the top of the key. Historical win probability sat at just 8.0%.
Arc & Timing Sandbox
Chelsea Gray Clutch Summary
Current State: 4th Quarter Game-Tying Shot Selected. Move slider or switch shots to evaluate trajectory & win probability swings.