China AI Workforce Exposure & Policy Transition Simulator

Policy & Sectoral Levers

Target Industry Focus

Automation Pace: accelerated

State Reskilling (% Provincial GDP): 0.8%

Transition Subsidy (% Wage Support): 35%

Unlock Hukou Mobility & Welfare Portability

Scenario Presets

5-Year Reallocation & Exposure Dynamics

5-Yr Net Displacement

4.2%

31.5M workers

Reallocated Workforce

18.4M

via State/Market absorbed

Vulnerable Cohort Mitigation

64.5%

retrained or subsidized

Provincial Fiscal Strain

moderate_high

Score: 68/100

Under the State-Led Reskilling policy posture with accelerated AI rollout, 18.4M out of 31.5M exposed workers are absorbed back into high-productivity advanced supply chains. Hukou mobility prevents acute inland labor stagnation, but central-to-provincial transfer funds face moderate-high strain.

Demographic Cohort Risk Matrix

Cohort	Exposed Base	Task Routine	Retraining Friction	Vulnerability Status