Policy Interventions
Scenario Presets
1.15
1.5%
45
+3 yrs
2050
Key Cultural Friction: Sibling-phobia persists as young urban professionals, raised in single-child families, view second children as prohibitive due to intense "involution" (neijuan) education costs and eldercare burdens.
Effective Fertility
1.48 TFR
Subsidy Boosted
Pop. in 2050
1.24B
From 1.41B (2023)
Sibling Phobia
58/100
Resistance Index
Workforce Dep.
0.68
Dependents per Worker
Projected Population Pyramid (2050)
Cohort breakdown in millions by 5-year brackets
Male
Female
Simulated baseline: 2024 UN World Population Prospects adjusted for official National Bureau of Statistics trends.