China Urban Unemployment Target & Labor Slack Diagnostic Divergence Engine

Target Ceiling (5.5%)

Official Surveyed Rate

Broad Labor Underutilization (U-6)

Youth Distress Rate

Official Surveyed Rate

5.2%

Within 5.5% annual target

Broad Labor Slack (U-6)

8.9%

Includes gig & rural dropouts

Target Distortion Gap

+3.7%

Admin suppression spread

Youth Cohort Distress

17.1%

16–24 age bracket tension

Labor Slack Divergence Timeline (8 Rolling Quarters) Surveyed Urban vs Real Underutilization

Statistical Suppression Decomposition

Suppression Mechanism	Description & Policy Incentive	Slack Added	Target Impact