US & China Space Capability & Launch Cadence Analyzer

Launch Cadence Engine Baseline 2026

US Annual Launches: 145

China Annual Launches: 78

US Heavy Lift (Starship/SLS Flights/yr): 14

China Heavy Lift (LM-9/10 Flights/yr): 6

Orbital Refueling Efficiency: 92%

Mission Profile Focus:

Delta-V & Lunar Mass Calculator

US Net Lunar Surface Payload

48.5 t

CN Net Lunar Surface Payload

27.0 t

United States (NASA/SpaceX/DoD)

China (CNSA/CASC/Commercial)

Target Year: 2026

Year Scrubber: 2026

Strategic Space Parity US Tonnage Advantage

US Annual LEO Mass

1,680 t

CN Annual LEO Mass

245 t

US Artemis Crewed Target

2027

China ILRS Crewed Target

2030

Architectural Assessment & Bottlenecks:

US maintains heavy lift dominance via Starship rapid reusability and commercial launch frequency. China is rapidly closing the gap in launch cadence (Long March 5/10) with planned 2030 crewed lunar landing parity.

Flight Architecture Manifest

System	Country	Payload (LEO)	Status