Clarity Act Whip Desk

Urged by SEC Chair Paul Atkins at the Solana Policy Institution event ahead of Tuesday's pivotal Senate cloture threshold vote.

Projected Cloture Roll Call

54 / 60 Req.

SHORT BY 6 VOTES (DEBATE BLOCKED)

Coalition Alignments

GOP Caucus Base 47 / 49

Pro-Innovation Centrist Dems 4 / 8

Banking Committee Swing Seats 3 / 6

Compromise Amendments

CFTC Exclusive Spot Power Adds +3 Agriculture & Farm State votes

Anti-Mixer / AML Stricture Adds +4 Financial Defense votes

Stablecoin Reserve Audit Guard Adds +2 Moderate votes

100-Seat Senate Chamber Matrix

Click pips to inspect alignment

GOP Yes Dem Yes Swing Yes Dissenting/No

Regulatory Jurisdictional Boundary Shift

SEC REVISED MANDATE

Investment Contract Asset primary capital raises
Restricted Token vesting & insider registration
Promoter disclosure and recurring equity claims
Decentralization maturity certification gate

CFTC EXPANDED POWERS

Cash & spot market commodities oversight
Digital Commodity Exchange (DCE) licensing
Segregated custody standards for trading venues
Algorithmic order book market surveillance

Legislative Briefing & State Snapshot

Preparing scenario package...

Policy Wire & Event Tracker

PRIMARY CATALYST DISPATCH

"SEC Chair Paul Atkins, speaking at a Solana Policy Institution event, urged Congress to advance the Clarity Act ahead of Tuesday's key Senate procedural vote."

Source: CoinDesk Policy Wire • 11K+ Impressions

Key Milestone Timeline

Monday • Solana Policy Institution

Chair Atkins Address: Outlines SEC willingness to yield non-security decentralization certificates to CFTC under Title III.

Tuesday Morning • Senate Whip Counts

Cloture Petition Filed: 60-vote threshold requires bipartisan crossover from minimum 11 non-GOP members under current 49-seat minority.

Tuesday Afternoon • Floor Action

Motion to Proceed: Invocating Rule XXII ends debate, clears 30 hours of post-cloture floor deliberation, unlocks germane amendments.

Next Week • House Re-conciliation

Conference Committee: Harmonization with House Financial Services FIT21 framework components.

Procedural Guidance

Cloture (Rule XXII): Requires 3/5 of Senators sworn (60 votes) to close debate and bypass a filibuster on the motion to proceed.

Baseline State: 47 GOP + 4 Centrist Dem + 3 Swing = 54 Votes (Short of 60). Use the sliders and amendments on the left to simulate vote trajectories.