Tactical 100-Yard Field Position Map
DET 32 (Opponent territory)
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Distance to Endzone: 32 yds
Colts Takeaway Ledger & Field Tilt Log
Cumulative Game Impact
| Quarter / Clock | Takeaway Type | Field Spot | DET Pre-EP | IND Post-EP | Net Swing |
|---|
Expected Points Added (EPA) Breakdown
LIVE MODEL
Defensive Turnover EPA Swing
+4.38 EPA
Opponent EPA Lost (-0.96) + Colts EPA Gained (+3.42)
Colts Expected Points (Post)
+3.42 EP
Expected offensive drive points
Colts Scoring Probability
68.4%
TD (48.2%) | FG (20.2%)
Opponent EP Erased
-0.96 EP
Lions 3rd & 8 conversion cratered
Touchdown Likelihood Delta
+38.5%
Red zone leverage multiplier
NFL 100-Yard Expected Points Baseline Curve