Per-Taxpayer Net Cost
$2,358
Matches Polymarket report benchmark
Total Macro Outlay
$386.4 B
Annual Avg: $96.6 B/yr
Local Tax Base Shift
-$42.8 B
Sales & payroll reduction
Sector Wage Shock
+6.2%
Agri, Construction, Hospitality
Fiscal & Economic Cost Cascade Model
D3 Flow Interconnection Visualizer
Direct Federal Outlays
$185.4 B
Detention Facilities & Capacity
$62.2 B
Legal & Judicial Processing
$38.1 B
Transport & Logistics
$44.8 B
Enforcement Personnel Expansion
$40.3 B
Downstream Economic Impacts
$201.0 B
State/Local Sales Tax Base Loss
$24.6 B
Payroll & Income Tax Shift
$18.2 B
Employer Recruitment & Friction
$82.4 B
Agricultural & Supply Shock Cost
$75.8 B
Household Burden Distribution
Married Joint
Direct Federal Tax Portion
$1,131
State Local Services Surcharge
$482
Consumer Price / Friction Pass-Through
$745
Net Cost Per Household
$2,358