BREAKING LINEUP REPORT

Dodgers Lineup Impact Lab: Ohtani Absence & Run Expectancy

Source @Reuters: Shohei Ohtani scratched for 3rd straight game | 24-State Markov Chain Projection

Shohei Ohtani Status:
Presets:
Expected Runs (xR/9)
4.38
Markov 24-State Base
Run Delta vs Full Strength
-1.14
Runs Lost Per 9 Innings
Win Prob vs Starter
51.8%
Pythagorean Estimate
Top 3 OBP Density
.354
Table Setters (1-3)

Batting Order (1–9 Starting Slots)

Use arrows to optimize spots

Infield Run Values & Cascade Analysis

vs Elite RHP Ace
1B: 0.86 R 2B: 1.10 R 3B: 1.35 R 1: Betts | 2: Freeman | 3: Hernández
Tactical Dugout Recommendation:
Andy Pages (elevate to 6th, Taylor 9th)
Managerial Insight: Without Ohtani's .390+ on-base presence in the leadoff spot, Mookie Betts moves to #1 with Freeman providing top-order protection. Teoscar Hernández batting 3rd experiences a 14% drop in runner-on-base scoring situations.
Calculated Expectancy: 4.38 R/G
Full-Strength Deficit: -1.14 R/9
Starting Win%: 0.518
Optimal Adjustment: Andy Pages (elevate to 6th, Taylor 9th)