Ebola Outbreak Dynamics & Containment Simulator

Intervention Matrix SEIRD Engine

Basic Reproduction (R₀) 1.80

Contact Tracing Coverage 65%

Isolation Speed (Days to Isolate) 3.5 days

Treatment Unit Bed Ceiling 1,200 beds

Ring Vaccination Rate (Daily) 0.8%

Vaccination Start Day Day 14

Scenario Presets

Effective R (R_eff)

1.12

Peak Infection Day

Day 48

Max Bed Saturation

142%

Projected Total Cases

18,420

Projected Mortality

7,368

Epidemic Transmission Curves (SEIRD Dynamic Trajectory)

Timeline: 180 Days

Susceptible (S)

Exposed (E)

Active Infectious (I)

Isolated / Bed Load (H)

Recovered / Immune (R)

Deceased (D)

Bed Capacity Ceiling

Surveillance Assessment & Proof Summary

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