Fed Policy Surprise Simulator
D3 Engine
Simulate Monetary Transparency Regimes, Yield Curve Shifts & Portfolio Drawdowns
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Focus Proof Target
Export Stress Test (JSON)
US Treasury Yield Curve Displacement
Baseline Yield
Post-Shock Curve
Fed Policy Surprise
+75 bp
1980s Surprise Regime
Portfolio Total P&L
-$24,500
-2.45% Drawdown
10Y Treasury Yield
4.62%
+37 bp Shift
Curve Shape Signal
Bear Flattener
2Y-10Y Spread: -22 bp
Shock Parameters & Regime
Federal Reserve Transparency Regime
Modern Dot Plot
1980s Unannounced Shock
Historical Policy Shock Presets
1994 Greenspan
2013 Taper Tantrum
1980s Volcker Shock
2022 Inflation Hike
Expected Fed Action
0 bp
Actual Fed Rate Action
+75 bp
Bond Portfolio Duration
6.5 Years
Equity Market Exposure
65%
Implied Volatility (VIX Base)
18.5 VIX
Rate-Surprise Impact Matrix (Canonical Proof Surface)
Maturity
Base Yield
Post-Shock
Yield Delta
Bond P&L
Initializing Engine...
Stress Test Sector Drawdowns & Hedge Allocation
Asset Class / Sector
Sensitivity
Estimated Drawdown
Recommended Hedge
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